Which Tacoma do you foresee depreciating the least?

2012 sounds like a better deal.
if you change your mind trade it in for a 2017/18.
my friend had a 2007 version of what youre looking at
with 160000 miles and dealer gave 16k for it in trade.

 

Like the others have said, I'd go for the 2nd gen!

 

I'd say it would be about the same depending mods whatever (even though mods shouldn't be recouped when selling most of the time). If you sell your 2012 w/160k in 2028 I would suspect you getting close to 10g +\- then with the 2018 at 100k after paying taxes interest whatever you'd get about 23-25 in 2028.

Just my guess but the loss seems about equal. The biggest variable is the engine lifespan. Only few may know (yet) how well the 3.5 will hold but depending on how well the 2012 has been kept it will have no problem lasting that long because it's been proven.

Everything's a gamble but in terms of value it's going to come down to which one you like the most but in the end I think you stand hav comparable loss of value in both. Rant complete

 

I'd go 3rd gen. Had a similar choice when I bought and couldn't be happier with the new platform.

 

+1

When I bought mine in 2014 I wanted to save a few bucks and buy a great used one. What I experienced was that the people that were selling the 4 year old models were selling trucks I couldn't trust for within $5k of brand new price.

Here I am nearly 4 years later and my truck is paid for and I've put every mile on it since 0.1.

 

Go 3rd generation, 2018 and all the little issues will be resolved. My 17 has no problems though. The 3rd generation likes the upper rpms to make power, 2nd generation makes more power at lower rpms. People complain about the 3rd generation shifting all the time, instead of just locking out 6 or 5th gear.

 

Don't buy a 2012...they are starting to take a hit with the stupid smog/emission pump which is at very least a ~$500 diy. You can read more about it in the 2nd gen section. You'll pay way more than that if you have a dealer do it. Some states cover it under an emissions warranty up to somewhere around 70k miles range. It is a well published problem with the Tundra guys and even affects some similar year 4Runners. 2013+ Tacomas run the pump at shutdown to clear the moisture that apparently wears out the valve seals or so the theory goes.

50-70k on the odo seems to be prime range for the problem to happen. When it does, it will send your truck into a limp mode, topping you out around 45 mph and only go away with clearing the code which will reappear until you fix it.

 

Find an MT TRD OR AC. That's what's going to be the best bang for your buck if you ever sell down the road. They've gone extinct.

 

I sold a 98 Tacoma with 89,000 on the clock for more than half what I paid for it. It was 18yrs old and I had 14 responses from Craig's list and the first person bought it. Cash! I could of sold a dozen of them if I had em.

 

I personally bought new so I could get exactly what I wanted for a little more than the used ones. I've had my truck 2 years now and it's probably worth only a couple grand less than I paid for it

 

1+ for third gen. They both will hold their value well and at the end will probably only save you a couple thousand over the ten years you drive it if you go used. You have to ask yourself if you are willing to sacrifice the $100 a year in savings to drive a newer truck with an updated interior and new features that the 2nd gen is missing. My personal opinion is that if it is going to be used as a work truck then go with the 2nd gen but if you are going to be driving it to and from work, on trips or just around town then go with the 3rd gen.

 

You're already 13k in the hole with the new one, just from a price perspective.

Add time value of money.

There are other factors too, but already that's a lot of catching up to do on something you are only going to use for 100k.

 

My 2 cents:

I usually plan to own vehicles for 7 years or so, as I don't want to be the owner when more expensive repairs are needed. As an owner of 2001 and 2007 SR5's, I unloaded the 2001 when it started having "issues" at 5 years. But I may have given up on the 2007 prematurely. It performed flawlessly throughout my ownership, but I wanted to try out a smaller and more fuel efficient vehicle and so bought a 2015 Outback. It had its own "issues", so I got my TRD Sport DCLB 6 months ago. I am very satisfied with the 2017, having not experienced any of the problems most often ascribed to it. I really like the bells and whistles of the premium/tech package.

In hindsight, I probably should have kept the 2007 for a 2-3 more years. Can't offer an opinion on comparative depreciation, but wouldn't keep a truck for as long as the OP (until 2028) says he'll do. Again, I don't want to be the owner when the high cost repairs are needed.

 

If you can afford new vehicles every couple years then you can afford a few minor repairs.

 

He didn't say he couldn't or wouldn't afford minor repairs????

"I don't want to be the owner when the high cost repairs are needed."

 

The only place I fail to see eye to eye with this is in the resale at 100k. Comparable 2008's in Ohio with 100k go for around $15-18k. So nothing against you, but geographically I don't think I'll be getting 23-25k out of the taco in 2028.

And like you said the 4.0 is tried and true

 

Yeah I've read up on this, and the aftermarket fixes, as well as work arounds. Consumer Reports still has the truck way above average reliability with the 2016/17 being questionable.

Still not use what route to go. The 2012 seems promising, maybe a 2013-2015 is a better option

 

I'm still unsure if the 3rd gen holding value. Not to say it won't, but it's probably too soon to tell if people start seeing real problems after 100k miles or not. It'll be interesting.

 

How does one anticipate resale value of a car in 10+ years

What happens to your resale value when gas prices skyrocket and replacements are electric or something else.

Enjoy what you want to now, tomorrow isn't guaranteed, let alone 10 years from now.

 

That's why I asked the question