Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

yield curve flattened even more today. causing pressure on equities.

 

Yeah. I saw that. A lot of what I have read says when the 2 and 10 years inverse, we are in for a ride.

 

omg, square has sold off fucking 12% over the last 1.1 days. Jesus.

 

I am just sitting back watching as my money slowly (or quickly?) disappears this week

 

what a fun time to be a stock trader!

 

I just got into the market a couple of weeks ago (well for the first time in 10+ years). I am losing a lot, and I have a bunch more that I was planning to put in next month. I am not so sure now..

 

don't do it... all this talk of the yield curve and stuff... who knows where the market is going. Keep what you got in there until all of this uncertainty plays out, would be my opinion

 

Netflix is doin good today only needs to drop $10 more before I buy in

 

If you had $10,000 to invest, what would you do right meow and why?

 

Agreed, but I fear I will miss out on gains if I sit on the sideline. I will watch closely for a few weeks, but I am hesitant right now.

 

you could theoretically buy the dips, but who knows how many more dips we will have. Just seems like we are on a roller coaster that goes nowhere

 

If the roller coaster has a slight uphill trend over the long-term, I see no problem with that. Unless you're a day trader, that might make things difficult.

 

Hey guys I’ve been lurking here for a bit and watching the market for a bit and 3M seems like it’s a good time to buy.

I have a 401k retirement but I want to start playing with some cash and this market is crazy as you all know.

 

Looks like it may be getting affordable:

 

Ya I’ve been watching it for a while and it’s almost to my number.

 

Would you be willing to share what your number is/why you think that's a fair price? I know Warren Buffet's thing is all about getting a good price vs. what the company or share is worth, but that's pretty difficult for a normal person to calculate.

 

Don’t take any real advice from me. My number is 193 because that would be the 52 week low. Overall they have been consistently climbing and I don’t see 3M going away anytime soon.

 

https://www.treasury.gov/resource-c...istoric-LongTerm-Rate-Data-Visualization.aspx

 

Here is what I don't get... the recession was signaled by the 2 and 10 year yield rates essentially being the same... the problem being that they are approaching each other once again. That's why people are getting panicky.



and the dow:




Dow:


I was expecting the "inverted yield curve" to be much more discernible. Yet what I see is that the rates stay very close to each other.

Here's a closer look at when they were near each other.. sorry the Y axis is garbage..:




The 10 year rate was below the 2 year rate just BARELY. I guess this is enough of an indicator of recession???

 

Remember that article you posted from SeekingAlpha (I actually downloaded the app to read it). Didn't it explain how the inverted yield curve does indicate a problem is coming, but looking at past recessions, sometimes the bad times didn't start until after the curve actually inverted, while other recessions started just as it was about to become inverted? From that I took that it is coming soon, maybe today or tomorrow, or maybe in the next couple of years. But history doesn't seem to make it clear "when."