Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

Don't want to get too political and i was mostly just joking.. Butttt, to play devils advocate, most of those companies that make up the big indexes and that jazz are all insanely huge. Realistically probably 75% of them couldn't stay that near that big or even afloat if it weren't for market controls. So i can genuinely see a possibility where most of the companies there now could be gone real quick

 

For realsies though: 2700
Market hasn't gone anywhere with all this conflict already and i don't think it will

 

Bitcoin one day I think.

Anyone want to buy some tulip bulbs?

 

New tariffs starting June 10 for mexico

 

https://wolfstreet.com/2019/05/30/y...e-age-sag-gets-fatter-may-serve-up-surprises/

Article about funny looking yield curve

 

Donald tariff.. I mean trump

 

Did you see the plan? Looks like they'll start at 5% and go up 5 more percent every month until Mexico does something substantial to decrease illegal immigration.
Caps out at 25%

 

So by November 10th the Peso will be further in the toilet... Cancun anyone?

 

Ho leee fuck haha.

I'm down

 

As will be my balance today lol

 

Only if it’s authentic Holland product! Don’t want to pay those tariffs fees too

 

Interesting- seems like we are at 18 month mark from one of these events. Makes me wonder if there is a severity factor to a inversion that is relevant when they mention the previous 6 events.

 

It’s the 2-year and 10-year inverting that predict a recession, and they have to stay inverted for at least a quarter to make the prediction. They have not inverted yet, about .16 away still.

That’s how I understand it at least.

 

Fml

 

If you read the article, it says 1-10yr inversion usually means 12-18 months away. What it means this time, when the yield curve is all whacko, is anyone's guess.

 

I hear all different things, but the 2-10 seems to be the one I hear the most.

It is weird what's going on now. They're all plummeting, so the actual spread isn't changing much. I think the spread actually went up today, because the 2-year dropped more than the 10-year. I don't think this is what traditionally happens when the "signal" is flashing, I think normally the longer bonds will go down alone to signal fear of the future economy.

 

Good for my mortgage rates that I'll be shopping for in a few months, bad for my portfolio

 

Any idea on auto loan rates and how that works? I bought my truck in 2016, was thinking about refinancing to see what the bank will offer. My rate is already good, but a few bucks a month would be worth it to me.

Might be looking to buy a house soon too. Is it a good time as far as mortgage rates go?

I don't know a lot about this, but figure fed fund rates being low help lower loan rates (since banks pay less to borrow from each other).