Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

Probibly a good thing its the weekend, let people get this news hysteria out of their system over the next two days, monday and tuesday will suck, and then someone will pull a vaccine or massive funding package for a solution out of their rear and things will flip around for the rest of the week.

That's my prediction for next week. All the while I'll be sitting here hopeing my wife doesn't get laid off!!

 

This thing is over. I’ve been following since the beginning. It is tapering off in China, with deaths and new cases. It’s not exponential, it’s reached a plateau. I see a rally back to normal coming very soon.

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#news

I found that site to be pretty good and some good charts. Also points out flaws in death rate math people have been using, very rational site and a lot of data. I'm more worried about the airlines taking a longer term beating as my wife works at one and is supporting my ass while I start a business.... which is dependent on manufacturing and warehousing stuff from overseas around here LOL!! Fawk!!

 

There will still be plenty of repercussions, but it doesn’t seem to be a plague. I bet it takes several months, but the market will bounce back once it realizes this.

 

Denial, some people will grasp at anything to get more bag holders back into the market

 

Some people are investors and aren’t worried about short term swings.

 

Only a fool would think the coronavirus is the only thing driving the markets down.

We've had a decade of "growth", yet everyone is just as levered up, and government deficits are still way out of control.

 

I actually agree with that. I think coronavirus is the excuse to bring prices back to reality, it could have been anything. I also think I’ll continue to be paid dividends, and in 10, 20 years, everything I bought will be worth more than I paid for it. Investing is a long game, how would a 40% correction affect someone in for the long haul? Just ignore and buy more.

Full disclosure, I lost $16k in value this week. I am only invested for dividends, companies paying profits out to owners. If there was no such thing as dividends, I’d probably be in real estate. Cheaper share prices are a plus for me.

 

govt deficits are ok if your gdp continues to grow. I like to look at it as good debt!

overall I think corona is just a scape goat ...this market needed an adjustment..only thing that worries me is the rate of correction. It’s happening a little too fast for me

 

Except GDP when factoring out deficit spending is likely negative.

We've treaded water, but at what cost?

 

If you factor in assets in addition to GDP, it is good debt. The doom and gloom is and will always be here, the US is always supposed to implode but never does.

 

Pretty cheap! treasury rates are shit Rates....eh I think if you are a super power in this world and can hold that title then I think we are sitting in a jacuzzi rather than just treading water. It could be worse! A whole lot worse.

 

That kind of thinking is arrogant on the part of the United States.

There's no reason to think that other counties will keep gobbling up our debt so we can spend.

 

I don’t understand how people can be bearish on a market that has and always will swing wildly, but has a long term trend up and to the right on every chart.

 

First US death coronavirus in Washington. Futures are up right now but I wonder whats going to happen over the weekend

 

Link? I can’t find anything on this.

Edit: Found it on Fox News, way down below what are apparently more important stories. I bet futures crash tomorrow.

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/1st-coronavirus-death-u-s-officials-say-n1145931

 

I hope it was someone who was very old or had other health issues. I hate to say that but it might help with the panic.

 

I think most bearish people base their investments on fear...fear of the unknown/fear of losing it all/fear of making too much money they don’t know want do with it.

buy fear, sell greed

 

That’s all emotion, which I try to avoid in investing. I try to look at logic, which is history, charts, having a plan and sticking to it. I’d be lying if I said emotion isn’t part of it, I just do my best to ignore it.