Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

But the market prices that in before the numbers come out

 

I’m ok with that and will make adjustments if it doesn’t come. I think we haven’t even begun to see the economic fallout from this. My bigger play is in real estate but that’s gonna take some time

 

Sorry about that. I was testing the waters. I can behave, I promise.

 

Just remember that words are very hurtful to some people

 

I think the more the government and fed try and intervene in the market the more trouble we're going to find ourselves in.

We basically have no European travel, no sporting events going on, schools and universities are closing, cruise lines are closed, large venues are canceled and the list goes on.

The cat's out of the bag, and all the rate cuts in the world are not going to excite most people to keep up their spending. Anyone with common sense is tightening their spending, which is why I say the feedback loop has started.

This isn't blowing over in a few weeks. I would not be impressed if one or more large failures in the coming months HSBC or Deutsche maybe Tesla, Uber? JC Penny

 

if this is the big panic happening that i have always heard about, everybody holding the green cash money and claims on that which is backed by nothing but the good faith and credit (i.e. bonds) are gonna get wiped out overnight, best to stay diversified owner with some gold coins for barter and wait for the new money to come out you still have a claim on ownership


cash is not safe in this environment!

 

I don't pretend to "know" but I wonder if all the interference doesn't sometimes have the opposite of the intended effect.

The market is basically a big voting machine. All the way up to our recent ATHs, prices defied any logical valuations. It seemed there was no mathematical support for the prices of many many stocks but it didn't matter. People were "voting" with their dollars. If most people think the market will go up, it will. If most people think the market will go down, it will. I really think it's that simple.

So when the fed or government steps in and tries to manipulate things, I wonder if it doesn't make a lot of people think "Oh my god, it's that bad that they need to step in? I'm out of here"

 

I am seriously going to behave because I like this thread.

 

"I'm not mad, I'm just disappointed.."

 

I don’t think anyone has said anything that an emotionally mature person shouldn’t be able to read without punching the report button

 

Short term: voting machine just as you described.

Long term: weighing machine, where earnings are all that matters.

That's why good companies will always be good investments.

 

Cash is safe because it’s a tried and true currency that the common man has faith in. Unless we see hyperinflation I think cash is a great place to be in the short term

 

until that faith is comprised in a panic like this and nobody wants your green money
its happened before in other countries in the past
it will be used as TP
this will not be announced before it happens

 

Our currency isn't backed by gold anymore, this is true. It is, however, backed by our military. That's how I see it. It will always have value as long as we're dominant.

 

You gonna turn down a $100 bill? If all else fails I’m heavily invested in lead & brass

 

It’s all good as long as people believe in it as a tool for exchange