Alabama thread!

#twinning

 

From AlabamaWX

EARLY MORNING SOAKER: A large mass of rain with a few embedded thunderstorms has been moving across Alabama this morning. The air is cool and stable over the northern half of the state, but some have experienced strong winds in spots along with some loud thunder. Trees have been blown down in scattered parts of Tuscaloosa and Hale counties.

To the south, a tornado watch is in effect for the southern quarter of Alabama until 1:00p CT.



Rain will end from west to east over the next few hours, and North/Central Alabama will have a lull during the mid to late morning hours. To the south, severe storms will remain possible over South Alabama where unstable air is in place.

THIS AFTERNOON: Unstable air is expected to move northward during the midday hours, and the latest high resolution model data suggests there will be sufficient instability by the afternoon hours for new thunderstorm development ahead of an approaching cold front. SPC maintains an “enhanced risk” (level 3/5) for areas in Alabama along and south of I-20, with a “slight risk” (level 2/5) up to the Tennessee state line.



TIMING: Storms will likely begin to develop sometime in the 12:00 noon to 3:00 p.m. time frame over West Alabama, then moving east during the late afternoon and evening hours. All of the storms should be into Georgia by 8:00 p.m.

THREATS: Storms that form will be capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. The highest tornado threat is south and east of Birmingham this afternoon, where a strong tornado (EF2 or higher) can’t be ruled out.

FLOODING: A flash flood watch remains in effect this morning for parts of Central and West Alabama this morning. The afternoon thunderstorm activity will be more scattered in nature (unlike the widespread rain we have this morning), so additional flooding issues this afternoon and evening are not likely.

Be sure you have a good way of hearing severe weather warnings this afternoon (never a siren!), and in your safe place have helmets for everyone in the family. If you live in a mobile home, know your shelter location, and how to get there quickly.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be dry day with ample sunshine along with a high between 75 and 80 degrees. Then, a fast moving weather system will bring a few showers and thunderstorms to the northern half of the state late tomorrow night into early Saturday morning, but for now severe storms are not expected. The sky becomes partly sunny Saturday afternoon with a high in the mid 70s. Then, for a change, Sunday will be dry with sunshine in full supply… the high will be in the low 70s.

 

Not a good twinning lol. Really hope i win the dirt king LCA on IG

 

haha we are twinning more than you think! I believe I have a CV binding as well.

I did get 2 OEM CVs last week for 120$ though, score!

 

I need that luck. And 2 low milege LCA's lol.

 

if you would've just put LCA skids on!

yeah I got lucky with the CVs, Wes had a coworker selling em

 

Ebay at says it will be here Tuesday so I’ll probably buy it there

 

it was just one I saw in IG from a small one person operation in tennessee. It looks good, but could definitely look better.

 

That rain helped out a bit apparently. Risk of severe reduced but there is still a chance.



The latest update from the Storm Prediction Center shows that the LEVEL 3 ENHANCED RISK has been removed for everyone in North/Central Alabama with the exception of the extreme southern portions of Pike and Barbour counties. The LEVEL 2 SLIGHT RISK remains the same, nearly covering the rest of North/Central Alabama with the exception of the northwest corner of the area, where a LEVEL 1 MARGINAL RISK exists. Here is the text from the SPC:

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA…SOUTHERN GEORGIAN…FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

SUMMARY…
The greatest potential for severe thunderstorms today is from parts of southern Alabama eastward across parts of southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle/North Florida. Tornadoes and severe wind will be the main concerns.

Synopsis…
In mid/upper levels, a series of shortwaves will contribute to increasingly cyclonic large-scale flow across much of the central CONUS. The leading of these perturbations, and most crucial for this forecast, is apparent in moisture-channel imagery from a circulation over southern/central MO southwestward across eastern OK, north TX, and northern Coahuila. This trough will deamplify gradually through the period, but remain fairly well-defined, extending by 00Z from the lowermost Ohio Valley to the upper/middle TX Coast. It should reach eastern portions of KY/TN, northern GA and southern AL by the end of the period.

At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a surface cyclone over the MO/AR Ozarks, with occluded front to northern LA, and cold front southwestward across the mid/upper TX Coastal Plain. The low should move eastward across portions of western/central KY by 00Z, with occluded/cold front across middle TN, central/western AL, and southern LA. By 12Z that front should extend from the low across central/eastern GA and parts of the FL Panhandle to the north-central Gulf. A warm front was drawn from southwestern AL southeastward over the northeastern Gulf and should move northeastward across the FL Panhandle, southeastern AL, and parts of southern GA today before being overtaken by convection.

Southeastern U.S…
Severe potential today appears most concentrated with a leading complex of severe thunderstorms, initially moving eastward across portions of southern AL and extreme southeastern MS. For near-term details, see tornado watch 139 and related SPC mesoscale discussions.

This complex should continue to offer a tornado/wind-damage risk, with isolated/marginally severe hail also possible, as it crosses the Gulf Coastal Plain and eastward to either side of the Florida/Georgia line, through early afternoon. Additional convection should develop in a comparatively undisturbed air mass to its southwest — perhaps along a trailing outflow/convergence boundary — later this afternoon through tonight. The buoyancy/shear parameter space will be greatest near the Gulf Coast, along and south of the warm front. The area near the front should exhibit enhancement of low-level hodograph size, inflow-layer vorticity, and storm-relative boundary-layer winds, with 200-400 J/kg effective SRH and 45-55-kt effective-shear magnitudes.

In addition to destabilization inland related to warm-frontal passage, muted diurnal heating is expected beneath the anvil-cloud cover. Theta-e advection inland from the Atlantic over parts of southeastern GA also should contribute. The northward extent of the destabilization favorable for surface-based inflow is uncertain but increasingly appears to be not as vigorous as suggested by earlier guidance, due to the MCS’ projected translation relative to the inland pace of the warm front, and its spread of down shear precip/clouds well northeastward across GA/Carolinas. As such, some southward shunting of the northern probability lines is warranted. In addition, a band of strong-severe convection may shift as far south as central FL by the end of the period.

Severe potential still exists with a possible second episode, along/ahead of the cold front from the Tennessee Valley region southward, but is very conditional. Substantial stabilization to near the Gulf Coast is associated with the leading MCS. Only a narrow back door of at least marginally favorable theta-e advection and related airmass recovery will exist to the west, which comes with offsetting influences:

1. Southwesterly near-surface flow ahead of the front will yield the best trajectories for theta-e recovery around the morning MCS outflow, but also contribute to relatively reduced low-level shear and convergence.

2. Any southerly to southeasterly trajectories from the MCS passage will be more convectively stabilized.

Still, a narrow plume of favorable buoyancy may develop — with MLCAPE ranging from around 500-1000 J/kg in the north where deep lift, cooling aloft and shear will be greatest, to around 2000 J/kg in the south under weaker ascent and shear. With uncertain coverage, duration and intensity of convection in this regime, the risk level is not as great as farther southeast and should diminish markedly after dark

 

Well all this weather finally got me. Large tree came down on the garage this morning around 5. Insurance has been called and the clean up and tree removal has begun. I'm feeling super lucky that it wasn't worse.

 

Damn man super sorry! Glad it wasnt worse! Hope insurance does you right!

 

Sucks that happened. Looks like the taco was barely spared

 

Damn, bad day when it gets mommas car

 

glad you guys are alright!

 

Man that sucks and hate to see this. If a tree's going to hit the house, better the garage than the living quarters. Happy to hear you guys are okay! Stay safe

 

So I took down some cabinets and fiber board on my garage wall. Turns out the fiberboard was hiding a spot where a previous owner or tenant bumped the Sheetrock. This is going to be my interior garage walls, I now have to go by the shop and put some breaks to form around the AC duct.

Also be careful when removing cabinets in an old house. You think there’d be more holding it up, but no and it heavily came down at me. Caught it, but still scratches and scared me.

working from home is dangerous

 

Glad to here you all are ok, hope repairs get done quick for you

 

You guys would probably guess I like storm chasing videos right? Well, my favorite is Pecos Hank. He has chase videos but also does other videos explaining the science behind the storm. Anyway, check out this video he captured yesterday in Madill Oklahoma. Unfortunately this Tornado cost the lives of two.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y73ZVT56Sz4

 

Wow that is crazy

 

Time to watch my boy Joey B shine! Greatest college player ever about to get PAID!