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Still think TITNC3: Return of the Iceberg was peak

Discussion in 'Stocks & Investments' started by kairo, Oct 6, 2020.

  1. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:11 PM
    Iwilltaco

    Iwilltaco Well-Known Member

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    @kairo’s guest house having a water with @not_nick
    Under development
    Why do the bad men hurt me?
     
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  2. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:17 PM
    davidstacoma

    davidstacoma Friendly Curmudgeon

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    I found a few points interesting, such as the 40% passive investors (index funds, which I would expect for 401ks, IRAs etc). Doesn’t answer my question as to where the sellers put their money and watching corporate bonds etc. it’s sure not all going there. Nothing surprising or what I didn’t already know here. I’m still learning though so thanks for the link.
     
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  3. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:20 PM
    davidstacoma

    davidstacoma Friendly Curmudgeon

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    You’re never hurt holding good stocks/ETFs if you’re willing to wait as long as it takes for recovery is my current philosophy lol. That’s why I hold a large chunk in cash and bonds to draw off of when I fully retire. If you panic and sell low then it’s gonna hurt.
     
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  4. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:20 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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    The big, big boys, blackrock, vanguard, billy gates, buffett are all busy buying up vast swathes of hard assetts, namely housing, real estate, farm land, water rights.

    The middle of the road riches (your hedge fund goobers) typically run to blue chips, but I'm not seeing that at all right now.

    I can't imagine they're holding tons of cash, and the bond market is in shambles.

    So in other words, I have no idea either.
     
  5. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:24 PM
    davidstacoma

    davidstacoma Friendly Curmudgeon

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    Well I think you do have an idea, I’ve been reading about Blackrock and others buying up real estate, likely part of the answer at least. Housing shortage and big corps buying up houses driving home prices through the roof. I see the same thing happening with Carvana, Vroom, buying vehicles at high prices and selling them even higher driving up the used car market prices during the chip shortages.

    You just gave a better answer than that video did lol.
     
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  6. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:28 PM
    Iwilltaco

    Iwilltaco Well-Known Member

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    @kairo’s guest house having a water with @not_nick
    Under development
    Yea. I ignore all my boring crap like that.
     
  7. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:29 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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    If you look at the reverse repo, it's been at $1.6t (per overnight) for weeks now. That's anywhere between 50-80 counterparties a day giving the fed a combined $1.6T EVERY DAY because they don't have anything better to use it on. So there's a pile of cash tied up in that as well
     
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  8. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:29 PM
    TreeFortRichard

    TreeFortRichard Barcelona Red is the best red...

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  9. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:30 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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  10. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:31 PM
    scootter82

    scootter82 Well-Known Member

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    There are several houses in my neighborhood that have been sitting empty for over a year, owned rental companies. They're listed for rent online, but for well over the already inflated rental prices. Just sitting on the house to sell it in another year likely
     
  11. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:31 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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    Jpow is gonna print us into a full blown crisis in short order. Bandaid needs to come off, rates need to go up quickly, and maybe we can save some semblance of society. They're not gonna do it though. They're gonna drive the ship right into the goddamn ground
     
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  12. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:32 PM
    TreeFortRichard

    TreeFortRichard Barcelona Red is the best red...

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    This is happening on MA.
    Small groups gobbling up multi-family homes and they sit empty...
     
  13. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:33 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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    Chicago as well, especially in the Polish communities. I have some ties in Cheeecago

    Haven't noticed it in Reno. Shit just sells the next day for 20% over list and people move in
     
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  14. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:36 PM
    davidstacoma

    davidstacoma Friendly Curmudgeon

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    Where I live, a growing area, realtors are saying there’s often 10-15 buyers for a house put on the market. Frequently the offer is above the listed price as buyers get in wars. It’s crazy.
     
  15. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:41 PM
    davidstacoma

    davidstacoma Friendly Curmudgeon

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    Well that’s the same thinking the feds always have, interest rates increase will stop inflation and stabilize the market. A number of articles I’ve read call BS on that, inflation is supply and demand driven, until we fix the transportation issues, end the lockdowns and such, get the oil supply back up and price of it down, and increase production and delivery capability, jack squat won’t be fixed.
     
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  16. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:45 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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    Inflation has to happen because our currency system is a legit ponzi scheme. It only works with inflation. That being said, managing inflation is do-able. I think a big part of the "supply and demand" crisis that everybody is boo-hooing over is a rather tidy coverup for the fact that we pushed way, way, wayyyyy too much money into the system way too fast as a stopgap measure.

    Things can't just go up in perpetuity, that's not healthy or sustainable.

    In 2008 we pushed trillions into the market to stem the bleeding and then never fixed the underlying issues

    In 2019 we pushed $4T into the markets that was just discovered with no answers as to where it went.

    In 2020 we pushed another (god only knows at this point) trillions into the market, and while the stonks certainly went up, again, we fixed absolutely none of the underlying issues.

    Call me all sorts of bad bloc names if you like, but I think we're at the end of a long uncontrolled chase of quarterly profitability at the expense of everything else.
     
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  17. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:48 PM
    davidstacoma

    davidstacoma Friendly Curmudgeon

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    Here’s one link to what I was talking about:
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.ma...d-do-nothing-to-control-inflation-11641936876
     
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  18. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:48 PM
    scootter82

    scootter82 Well-Known Member

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    Remember when SPY only moved like .01% a day on avg? lmao
     
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  19. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:50 PM
    kairo

    kairo [OP] >_>

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  20. Feb 17, 2022 at 12:52 PM
    BudFriendguy

    BudFriendguy TRD BRGLR

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    Guys... Shorts did ad buys over a year ago to show they closed their shorts.

    So stop with the GME conspiracies it looks desperate!
     
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