Alabama thread!

Morning erbody

 

Morning Brian.

Morning Stevie.

 

Afternoon fellas. Valium IV is my drug of choice. It has been knocking me out. Also getting perc 10, oxy 10 pulls, and dimerall IV. That has been rotated every 2 hrs. Valium is every 6. Had a decent day today.

 

Sounds like you might be enjoying the drugs a little bit too much .




How’s it going Barrie? Getting ready for werkie here

 

Afternoon Phil.

 

You could open a pharmacy! All kidding aside praying all is going well and a speedy recovery although we know there will be ups and downs. Which hospital you in?

 

the one he works at. east Alabama pretty sure.

 

From AlabamaWX

UNSETTLED WEATHER AHEAD: A few strong thunderstorms are in progress over Northwest Alabama this afternoon… SPC maintains a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms for the Tennessee Valley through early tonight; heavier storms there could produce small hail and gusty winds. Otherwise, the sky is partly sunny across the state with temperatures mostly in the low 90s.



The weather will be wet tomorrow with occasional rain ahead of a surface front, and rain continues Thursday ahead of the tropical system in the Gulf. Rain will likely be heavy at times late Thursday and Thursday night, then the rain will diminish Friday morning. We expect just a few scattered showers Friday afternoon and Friday night.

Over the weekend, a few scattered showers are possible, but on both days, the rain won’t be widespread or heavy. Highs will be in the 78-82 degree range.

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORMS: Newly formed Tropical Storm Helene, with sustained winds of 45 mph, is about 175 miles south of the sestern tip of Cuba. The tropical storm is moving west/northwest at 12 mph.

From NHC: Satellite trends suggest that the shear over the system is beginning to decrease, and model guidance continues to show relatively low to moderate shear for the next 48 hours or so. In addition, oceanic heat content values are very high, and the system will be moving through an environment of upper-level divergence.

Therefore, significant strengthening is anticipated, and the NHC intensity forecast shows the system reaching a peak intensity around 115 mph in 48 hours while over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

There could be some increase in shear around the time the system reaches the coast, given the system’s large size, it might only weaken slowly. As a result, there is still a risk that the system could reach the coast as a major hurricane.

The forecast track has changed very little… landfall is forecast in the Florida Big Bend region southeast of Tallahassee Thursday evening as a major, category three hurricane with winds of 115 mph.



Key messages…

*A Hurricane Watch remains in effect ?for the Gulf Coast of Florida from Englewood northward and westward to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay.

*A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Gulf Coast of Florida from Indian Pass to the Walton/Bay County Line and from north of Bonita Beach to south of Englewood.

*Main impact in terms of wind, storm surge, flooding, and isolated tornadoes will be from Carrabelle to Cedar Key and down to Tampa Bay (the east side of the circulation).

*The Central Gulf Coast (Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach) is on the good, west side of the circulation with an offshore flow. There will certainly be some rain and wind for places like Panama City Beach, Mexico Beach, Port St. Joe, and Cape San Blas, but the big issues with dangerous storm surge will be east of there. The Alabama Gulf Coast, Pensacola, Navarre Beach, Fort Walton Beach, and Destin will have breezy, showery weather, but nothing dangerous based on the current forecast track.

*A 10-15 foot storm surge is forecast from the Ochlockonee River down to Chassahowitzka on the Florida Coast. The storm surge around Tampa Bay is forecast to be 5-8′



*The southeast corner of Alabama (around Dothan) could see wind gusts to 40/45 mph Thursday night. The rest of East Alabama will see gusts to 35 mph; gusts over the western half of the state will be in the 20-30 mph range. Higher winds will be east of Alabama across Georgia.

*The eastern half of Alabama has potential for four inches of rain tomorrow through Friday morning; rain potential for the western counties is 2-3 inches. A flash flood watch has been issued for Southeast Alabama.



*Tornadoes are not expected in Alabama. Any isolated tornadoes will be along the east of the center of circulation as Helene moves northward (east of Alabama).

*The weather will improve across Alabama by midday Friday; we expect just a few scattered, light showers Friday night and Saturday. Bottom line is that the weather won’t be bad at all for high school and college games in the state, but just keep mind a passing shower can’t be ruled out. Wind will be under 10 mph.

Remember, any tropical forecast can change. Watch for updates!

ON THIS DATE IN 1956: Hurricane Flossy made landfall near Destin as a Category 1 storm.

 

Monitoring closely the storms firing in Northwest Alabama and eastern Mississippi. They continue to move over the same areas and we may begin to see isolated flooding start to form. There is a severe storm at Smithville, MS. Winds 60-63 kts at 800 feet near Smithville. That is something to monitor very closely for Lamar and Marion Counties in Alabama. A warning may be needed.

At the MS/AL line near Mingo and Petertown northeast to Red Rock and Woodland, there is some hefty rain falling. The line continues north of Florence to the TN line.

 

She's getting her act together.

 

Glad you had a decent day . Hope and pray you have a full and speedy recovery.

 

Good morning everyone, have a great and blessed Wednesday.

 

Good morning Bama y'all get ready for some rain. Hope everyone has a good day and be careful today.
We're supposed to get between 4-8" here.

Good morning Jeff.

 

Good morning David. I have a pool inspection scheduled for 9:30ish today, need the rain to stay away.

 

Be careful, the plant is right on the French Broad River in town and their expecting flooding. I have a creek in the front yard and I hope we don't get what they're predicting.

 

Good morning Jeff.

Good morning David.

 

Good morning Barrie

 

Good morning Barrie

 

Be safe and hopefully the creek doesn’t flood

 

From AlabamaWX

WET: We are forecasting occasional rain and a few thunderstorms across Alabama through tonight ahead of an upper trough and surface front. A few strong storms are possible this afternoon over East and South Alabama, where SPC has defined a “marginal risk” (level 1/5). Heavier storms could produce small hail and strong, gusty winds.



Rain continues at times tomorrow and tomorrow night, and it could be heavy at times over the eastern half of the state as Helene moves inland and up into Georgia. A flash flood watch is in effect for the area from Gadsden and Anniston south to Dothan.

Rain will taper off Friday morning, and we expect only a few isolated showers Friday afternoon and over the weekend. Highs will in in the low to mid 70s Friday, and in the 77-81 degree range over the weekend.

HELENE: Tropical Storm Helene has sustained winds of 65 mph early this morning, and is centered about 45 miles east/northeast of Cozumel, Mexico. The system is moving to the northwest at 9 mph.

Over the next couple of days, Helene will be moving through an environment of low vertical wind shear, ample environmental moisture, and over waters of high oceanic heat content. All guidance forecasts steady to rapid intensification, including the RI indices associated with the SHIPS model. The latest forecast calls for a 120 mph intensity by 36 hours, and this could be conservative as some of the guidance is stronger. After landfall, Helene is forecast to weaken and become post-tropical as it gets tangled up in the baroclinic system over the southeastern United States.

Helene’s wind field is predicted to grow to a very large size in the NHC forecast. Therefore storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts will likely extend well away from the center and outside the forecast cone, particularly on the east side. In addition, the fast forward speed while Helene crosses the coast will likely result in farther inland penetration of strong winds over parts of the southeastern United States after landfall.

Landfall will likely come tomorrow evening on the Florida coast south of Tallahassee, and east of Apalachicola; Helene is expected to be a major hurricane (category three) with winds of 120 mph at that time. There has been very little change in the track forecast over the past 48 hours.



Key messages…

*A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Anclote River to Mexico Beach.

*A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Englewood to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay.

*A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Indian Pass southward to Flamingo
* Tampa Bay
* Charlotte Harbor

*The Central Gulf Coast (Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach) is expected to be on the good, west side of the circulation with an offshore flow. The hurricane warning includes Mexico Beach, Port St. Joe, Cape San Blas, and points east. The main impact in terms of wind, storm surge, flooding, and isolated tornadoes will be from east of Indian Pass to Cedar Key and down to Tampa Bay (the east side of the circulation).

*A 10-15 foot storm surge is forecast from the Ochlockonee River down to Chassahowitzka on the Florida Coast. The storm surge around Tampa Bay is forecast to be 5-8′.



*The southeast corner of Alabama (around Dothan) could see wind gusts to 40/45 mph tomorrow night; a tropical storm warning has been issued for Houston and Henry counties. The rest of East Alabama will see gusts to 35 mph; gusts over the western half of the state will be in the 20-25 mph range. Highest wind velocities will be east of Alabama over North Florida and Georgia.

*The eastern half of Alabama has potential for 3-5 inches of rain through Friday morning; rain potential for the western counties is 1-3 inches. Areas in West and Southwest Alabama from Tuscaloosa to Mobile are expected now to receive under one inch. A flash flood watch has been issued for East and Southeast Alabama, in the broad area from Gadsden and Anniston south to Dothan.



*Tornadoes are not expected in Alabama. Any isolated tornadoes will be along the east of the center of circulation as Helene moves northward (east of Alabama).

*The weather will improve across Alabama by midday Friday; we expect just a few isolated, light showers Friday night and Saturday. Bottom line is that the weather won’t be bad at all for high school and college games in the state, but just keep mind a passing shower can’t be ruled out. Wind will be under 10 mph.

Remember, any tropical forecast can change. Watch for updates!

ON THIS DATE IN 1998: Four hurricanes were spinning simultaneously in the Atlantic basin: Georges, Ivan, Jeanne, and Karl. That was the first time this had happened since 1893.