Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

Some of it is like fine wine...aged to perfection lol

 

no one never opens up about financials lol

very hard to form opinions and observations.

 

yep. There was a point that my credit was unchanged for months. Then I started doing things "differently" to see if it would help... long story short, it didn't. Now I'm going back to my old tactics..

 

Glad I'm not the only one. I think I'll call the banks and extend my credit line tonight but otherwise I'm just going to ride the train

 

What do you mean? What type of information are you looking for?

If it's regarding credit score: I always pay my bills on time, I always pay my credit cards off in full every month, my balances are a very low % of the credit limits, a lot of my accounts have been open for quite some time.

 

I think I know what he means. Just in general, day to day life, people never talk about these things. That's actually why I like this thread.

 

Was only a 1 bp spread at one point today

 

How long does the inversion have to hold to be the reliable recession predictor? I think it's like 2 quarters, inverted the whole time.

 

Not asking for everyone's financial situation, though I've had people ask me how much I invest, which I lie about.

Though I will give allocation percentages, nothing with numbers though so the amount can never be figured.

I'll talk openly on my credit, which is only 6 years old and I have 792, and exactly how I use my CC and how I pay them, and how I reap the rewards.

The only reason I'll discuss companies I'm in and percentages is so people can see my confidence or mistake in one company.

etc, then I have fellow employees who complain about their financial situation all the time, yet never care to change their spending habits and what not. I'm rambling.

 

Yea, if history is a guide, between 6-9 months

 

What would a brief (a day or week or so) inversion mean? Nothing? Or just an indication that the inversion is its way soon.

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019...2s10s-yield-curve-inverts-first-time-12-years

 

It looks like we're in for a very strong 30 months or so: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/s...yield-curve-inverts-jpms-kolanovic-2019-03-26

And then of course the 40%+ correction.

 

Here is a good chart that you can kind of calculate the time between inversion and recession:

 

all i know is my account's all red today..

 

I guess one good thing about this is that everyone has their warning, if they want to get out of stocks, now (or in the near future) would be the time. It's kind of like a hurricane warning on the radar, you have about a week to evacuate, or ride it out, but you have the chance!

I will just be laughing as I get huge discounts on stocks I'd be buying anyway.

 

Agreed.

I’m fairly conservative in my approach, and want to preserve capital when the debt markets are unstable and unsustainable with an inverted curve.

Later the Pres will probably come out and suggest the fed lower FFR, or trade talk nonsense in hopes to prop equities back up. Question is, will it work (again).