Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

These trade wars may be bad for the markets, but good for our overall economy long term. Multiple countries are taking complete advantage of the US... it’s just a matter of trying to come to a solution which helps level the playing field.

 

I know what you mean, but will we come to a solution before or after our respective economies turn into a dumpster fire?

 

the 2 and 10 year interest rates are 33 BP away.

 

This was last seen in... 2007

I like this graph, it gives you an idea of how long after the inversion the recessions have started:



This one is new to me, apparently there is correlation between the unemployment rate and past recessions:

 

I think the unemployment rate certainly follows a recession, but we won't notice an uptick until our economy recedes

 

Yea, looking at it again, it's not really a predictor because you can't determine how "low" it will get, it only looks that way in hindsight because of it going up.

 

meanwhile, on the IQ chart:

 

I sold my AAPL shares at a small loss today. It finally started creeping up, but when I looked at a few charts, it has the potential to go so much lower. I am slowly trying to put everything into SPY and watch it slowly but steadily go up. Hopefully..

 

I think I'm just going to wait another month, if I don't see progress then I'll sell at a loss, write that shit off on my taxes and wait until we hit bottom during the next recession.

The markets are waaaaaay too volatile right now. It's like off the charts on the richter scale. 2018 has been a shit show.

 

we are pretty close to reversal on the 50 and 200 day moving average for the Dow

 

Good call, just hope it doesn't drop back into that May price range, or you'll be writing a whole lot more off. Who knows, it may go up lol

 

Even the funds are doing bad!

 

who knows is right... the market does what it does

 

How do you folks feel about the possible oil price turnaround. $70 a barrel is pretty damn good for fracking but I'm not sure if it can last.

Does anyone know of talks with Iran? Or any other possible events in the future that might affect oil?

 

if the economy goes into the shitter usually oil prices go way up... so.. yeah..

 

A lot of the charts lately look like they go up in the morning/afternoon, then drop back to where they started at 4:00. I look at my account in realtime and I am usually up pretty good at lunch time, then back down. No idea what this means, maybe a lot of active trading going on but no real investment.

 

probably lots of day trading and manipulation... algos making it swing one way or the other a lot harder than before. I have no idea. I think all the trade war talk is to blame. It's manipulation by the alarmist media. IQ shouldn't even be down because it's a Chinese company and does no business in the US... yet down 13%. Pure manipulation. I will probably have to average down on this piece of crap stock.

 

Same here. Really annoyed

 

I am joining the club today so far down 9.5%

 

Same here. I did just pick up At&T. Thinking about Netflix?