1. Welcome to Tacoma World!

    You are currently viewing as a guest! To get full-access, you need to register for a FREE account.

    As a registered member, you’ll be able to:
    • Participate in all Tacoma discussion topics
    • Communicate privately with other Tacoma owners from around the world
    • Post your own photos in our Members Gallery
    • Access all special features of the site

Investment BS Thread - Stocks/Futures/Mutual Funds/Bonds/Commodities/Options/ETFs/401ks/Etc

Discussion in 'Stocks & Investments' started by ThunderOne, Feb 1, 2018.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:19 PM
    #1901
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    YES. You can change your entire 401k investment at any time. BUT, do not do what I found out the hard way and move it in and out of something within 30 days. I did and got a "warning". I called and they said don't do any "round trip" trades within a 30 day period. So basically you can move your 401k around once a month at a minimum. Not that I would recommend it though. But I've done it.
     
    scottalot[QUOTED] likes this.
  2. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:20 PM
    #1902
    Boyk1182

    Boyk1182 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2017
    Member:
    #233074
    Messages:
    4,765
    Gender:
    Male
    Northern Colorado
    Here is a screenshot of my options. It doesn’t matter, the choices aren’t good, but I agree it is strange. It’s Paychex Flex.

    Edit: I see no option on the website to sell shares I have but there may be a way.

    0DD9BB4B-6C07-49F3-B938-CD57D1A0A8A4.jpg
     
    scottalot likes this.
  3. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:21 PM
    #1903
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    Those index funds are usually 30% foreign investments - difficult to track down where exactly your money goes. Might be a decent time to buy into foreign though, the int'l markets have all been in the dumpster during 2018. No telling if it will continue but still lots of news about slowing growth in China so take that for what it's worth
     
    scottalot[QUOTED] likes this.
  4. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:25 PM
    #1904
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    Yep. As far as safe - anything with mostly treasuries is good. Usually called money market accounts.
    Second safest - bond funds. Decent payout but those bonds can lose their value especially if there is a run on the fund - meaning high trading in a fairly illiquid market.
    Medium risk would be something like a total US stock fund that mirrors SP500 - in my case that is VIIIX. Tons of companies in the mix, but obviously those with high market caps will move around your portfolio more (like apple, Microsoft etc).
    Higher risk (in my opinion, due to the intl market) is a target fund with a long time horizon.
    Highest risk - something actively managed and rebalanced often. Higher management fees, smaller pool of companies, but chance for big returns. Best to do some research on the holdings and see if you like what the firm has picked out.
     
    scottalot[QUOTED] likes this.
  5. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:29 PM
    #1905
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    Total market funds that basically mirror big indices like SP500 have extremely low fees. Anything in the 1% or higher is considered high fees, you typically see with actively managed funds.
     
    scottalot[QUOTED] likes this.
  6. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:31 PM
    #1906
    AK Taco

    AK Taco Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2012
    Member:
    #76924
    Messages:
    5,047
    Gender:
    Male
    First Name:
    matt
    Anchorage, Ak
    Vehicle:
    chrome-free '99 sr5
    20% tint on all windows, Deckplate mod, satoshi-ish grille, blacked out and/or body matched emblems, rattle canned rims, red l.e.d. interior lights, bilstein 5100's and OME 881 coils , deaver 8 leaf pack, 1.5" lift shackle, alpine sound system, 55w HID lightforce 140 and 170 fogs
    You can get S&P index funds with zero expense ratios. But in a 401k your options are always more limited and you’ll end up with higher fees
     
    scottalot[QUOTED] likes this.
  7. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:34 PM
    #1907
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    Depends on his 401k broker. Some places are advertising zero fee index funds. Mine charges 0.03% for VIIIX (SP500 fund). Which is still basically nothing.
     
    scottalot likes this.
  8. Jan 31, 2019 at 4:34 PM
    #1908
    Boyk1182

    Boyk1182 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2017
    Member:
    #233074
    Messages:
    4,765
    Gender:
    Male
    Northern Colorado
    I think it’s just the limited options. You can’t pick VOO or SPY, so you’re stuck with the one the offer.
     
    scottalot[QUOTED] likes this.
  9. Jan 31, 2019 at 5:33 PM
    #1909
    TacomaSport86

    TacomaSport86 2010 Tacoma/2016 4Runner Pro

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Member:
    #276093
    Messages:
    1,976
    Just remember active funds almost never beat the market long term and cost a lot more

    See info below:

    Bad times for active managers: Almost none have beaten the market over the past 15 years. Some 66 percent of large-cap active managers failed to top the S&P 500 in 2016. Performance actually got worse over longer time frames, with more than 90 percentmissing benchmarks over a 15-year period.
     
    scottalot and Boyk1182 like this.
  10. Jan 31, 2019 at 5:54 PM
    #1910
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    Except in 2018


    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fo...s-active-or-passive-going-to-win-in-2018/amp/
     
    scottalot likes this.
  11. Jan 31, 2019 at 5:57 PM
    #1911
    TacomaSport86

    TacomaSport86 2010 Tacoma/2016 4Runner Pro

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Member:
    #276093
    Messages:
    1,976
    90% failed to beat the market over 15 years! Incredible
     
    scottalot likes this.
  12. Jan 31, 2019 at 5:58 PM
    #1912
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    That's counting nearly a decade of ZIRP. I'd bet that actively managed funds may fare better in volatile markets, when stock picks and fundamentals may start to matter again.
     
    scottalot likes this.
  13. Jan 31, 2019 at 5:59 PM
    #1913
    TacomaSport86

    TacomaSport86 2010 Tacoma/2016 4Runner Pro

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Member:
    #276093
    Messages:
    1,976
    I'm willing to bet over the long term they wont beat the market. Never have and never will.
     
  14. Jan 31, 2019 at 11:58 PM
    #1914
    mattleegee

    mattleegee Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2010
    Member:
    #33672
    Messages:
    787
    Gender:
    Male
    Tacoma, WA
    Vehicle:
    2020 TRD PRO 6sp
    I didnt even know what my 401k was but after reading here i had to go look, i set it up when started job and just let it ride
    Also didnt know there was fees, looks like im 0.06% fees

    2045.jpg
     
    scottalot likes this.
  15. Feb 1, 2019 at 7:21 AM
    #1915
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    jobs report crushed it again. Unemployment ticked up.
     
    scottalot and Boyk1182 like this.
  16. Feb 1, 2019 at 7:22 AM
    #1916
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    You are likely correct, but that wasn't what I was emphasizing

    For instance
    each percent column: 1 year 3 year 5 year 10 year/LOF
    upload_2019-2-1_9-27-48.jpg
    upload_2019-2-1_9-28-34.jpg



    As you can see, VIIIX (SP500 fund) beat JSMTX (actively managed fund) over the long term, but JSMTX beat VIIIX by over 5% during 2018 which was a volatile year.

    The devil is always in the details and you can't always use blanket statements for every strategy. Sure, a rising tide lifts all boats, but choppy water means you better have some strong boats to weather the storm.
     
    Last edited: Feb 1, 2019
  17. Feb 1, 2019 at 9:10 AM
    #1917
    JeffreyB

    JeffreyB Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2015
    Member:
    #166880
    Messages:
    1,809
    Gender:
    Male
    First Name:
    Jeff
    Vehicle:
    2015 Access Cab 2.7 5 Speed 4X4
    The rule of thumb I use for actively managed funds is this. Lower gains in up years, lower losses in down years. Same reason for both instances, jumping in and out cuts some of the gain/loss down. The reason passive outperforms long term is that the overall trend is up. Just my take, could be wrong, but for long term investments I am all passive.
     
    scottalot likes this.
  18. Feb 1, 2019 at 9:14 AM
    #1918
    TacomaSport86

    TacomaSport86 2010 Tacoma/2016 4Runner Pro

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Member:
    #276093
    Messages:
    1,976
    A classic mistake - You forgot to factor in the expense difference. Makes a big difference over the long term. You are paying extra for actively managed funds that underperform the market.
     
  19. Feb 1, 2019 at 9:15 AM
    #1919
    ThunderOne

    ThunderOne [OP] Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2009
    Member:
    #17473
    Messages:
    10,043
    First Name:
    Mitchell
    Nashville
    Vehicle:
    1ST GEN OR GTFO
    Toyota NERD
    Not a mistake... even with 1% fees you'd still be up 4+% in 2018. I think you're just ignoring my point and reading what you want to read.
     
    scottalot likes this.
  20. Feb 1, 2019 at 9:15 AM
    #1920
    TacomaSport86

    TacomaSport86 2010 Tacoma/2016 4Runner Pro

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2018
    Member:
    #276093
    Messages:
    1,976
    Timing the market and being successful?...not possible over the long run
     
    JeffreyB[QUOTED] and Boyk1182 like this.
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Products Discussed in

To Top