Severe Weather thread.

The NWS Storm Prediction Center have now increased the threat to moderate.



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PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1033 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Lower Mississippi
Valley and Deep South today into the evening...

* LOCATIONS...
Central Mississippi
Central and northern Louisiana
Far western Alabama

* HAZARDS...
Several tornadoes, a few intense
Widespread damaging winds
Isolated large hail

* SUMMARY...
Numerous to potentially widespread severe thunderstorms are
anticipated across parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and
Deep South with tornadoes and damaging winds as the primary
hazards. The peak tornado risk is expected through early
evening, centered on northern and central Louisiana into central
Mississippi.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado
watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form
during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for
your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

 

Increase in threat



The Storm Prediction Center has just released its latest Day 1 Convective Outlook and has upgraded portions of central and southwestern Mississippi and eastern Louisiana to a Moderate Risk (level 4 of 5) for severe storms.

For North/Central Alabama, the Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) remains unchanged while the Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) has been extended eastward slightly to include much of the west of the area. A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) continues for the locations closest to the AL/GA state line.



The above image shows the risk for tornadoes with a 15% chance of an EF2-EF5 tornado occurring within 25 miles of a point in the Moderate Risk zone. Much of the Enhanced Risk zone has a 10% chance. Tornadoes are possible but a little less likely in the Slight Risk zone.

Places that are under the gun for significant severe weather include Alexandria LA, Jackson MS, Meridian MS, Vicksburg MS and Clinton MS.

 

This system has been/is/will be reeking havoc to a large portion of the country. Wow!

 

I encourage you guys to follow these guys

https://twitter.com/NWStornado?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author


Looks like these storms are firing

 

Tennessee got hit hard last night.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1147701

 

…TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA…

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
MARION…SOUTHERN LAWRENCE…SOUTHERN COVINGTON…NORTHWESTERN LAMAR
AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES…

At 350 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Tilton, or 11 miles north of Kokomo, moving northeast at 45 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for locations in the warned area. This is a
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD…Deadly tornado.

SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT…You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

The tornado will be near…
Tilton around 355 PM CDT.
Oak Vale, Goss and Morgantown around 400 PM CDT.
Society Hill around 405 PM CDT.
Bunker Hill around 410 PM CDT.
Carson around 415 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bassfield and Seminary.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

 

Live...2nd line of Easter storms...

 

I am in Southern Indiana. That line is due here around midnight, but it looks like the worst will go south. We are still expecting up to around 50mph winds. I just hope the power doesn't get knocked out. But, if it does, at least it's not below freezing. I hate when we lose power at 15 or 20F and have to get outside and haul out a generator just to keep plumbing (and family) from freezing. Really sucks in the dark too.

 

Hurricane season bump. How’s everyone fairing in SC with the Cat 1? Should be pretty breezy up our way in the next couple hours.

 

Wooohooo, 2 storms coming into the Gulf at the same time next mid-week. TS14 is supposed to come in at LA/TX. TS13 supposed to come around the Keys and head for the Panhandle. Could get real interesting.... https://spaghettimodels.com/

 

Sub'd. Huge weather nerd over here.

 

And now both hurricanes are headed for me directly in Southeast Louisiana. Can I get an F in the chat fellas?

 

Yeh those cones have been changing West with each update....

 

Gonna have to hunt up some web cams for those areas. Watching Irma hit the Keys live was better than any news source.

 

6"+ of rain predicted here in AR when it hits the mountains. Things can change alot before then, as it has in the last 48 hrs....

 

Shits not looking good for the south

 

^^^^^^^ Nope. I'm working as well. I work about 30 miles north of Lake Charles.

 

dammit boys.